Weekly Analysis

Hello guys,

This week we’ll be looking at the GBPJPY pair. We see that the pair has been on a downtrend for the most part. The main trend is bearish. Prices found a bottom and made some retracement. Then we see prices trading within a descending channel. At the most recent bottom of the descending channel, we see a hammer, signaling that there’s a high probability markets will reverse. They actually did reverse. Now at this point we have to wait for a clear breakout of the descending channel in order to have a clear signal of where the market will be headed.


Our bias is still bearish. The bulls have made a strong comeback by rejecting the prices moving lower and the confirmation by the bullish weeks.

A breakout outside the descending channel may show that the investors sentiment has changed and with the political drama of the Brexit we need to be careful trading this pair.

XAUUSD Currency Pair Analysis 

At the moment gold has rallied until the near term resistance. The pair has not broken the resistance level. At this level, price made indecision candles. Last week we see a pinbar which shows weakness in the uptrend. This week an indecision candle followed showing even further weakness in the uptrend. We wait for further price action to know whether the near term level will be broken and trend upwards and head to the major level, or reverse and we go bearish.  For a bearish move we will need further confirmation and for a bullish move we will need a break of the near term level.


We will watch this currency pair closely and monitor how it behaves on this resistance zone. As usual the price will be our guide on how this precious commodity behaves at this zone.

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EURCHF Currency Pair Analysis

This pair has been making lower highs and lower lows so we are clearly in a downtrend.  The pair bottomed as it formed a tweezer bottom and here we see the prices momentarily pause and bounce off the support zone.

The pair struggled to get to the support area and then we see a weakness in the downtrend as the pair approaches the support area and we see a doji and a strong bullish day.

The bearish trend has shifted its momentum as the break of the trend line. As you can see the market has broken the near term trend line and the market is retesting the support area. Will the market continue the downtrend or the market will bounce back up?


The break of the bearish trend line shows that the momentum of the bear has shifted. Formation of the morning star at the support level may hint a change in the investor sentiment. We will watch this pair for further price action and let the price guide us to make further trading decisions.

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This pair has been trending sideways since late 2016. The market price is at the bottom of the sideways channel and finally hitting the monthly and weekly support. The support area is breached by a huge bear shadow informing us that this is a false break of the support area.

A huge bullish comeback at the support area is expected and the price rallies on Friday.

Will bullish move be sustained?

 Of course we let the market to advise further as we continue speculating this currency pair

Summary: A huge bullish comeback at the support zone could indicate a change in investors’ sentiment. We will monitor this pair closely and we will let the price guide us on the direction of this pair in the coming days and weeks.


This pair has been on bear market.  A huge tailed bar formed at the close of last week, hinting a false break of the minor support line, but finding its support at the major monthly resistance area. The bulls make a huge comeback to push the prices higher but will the momentum hold its ground?

Summary: The market has been bear-dominated, but we might see a change in sentiment if the support area is strong enough to reject the prices moving further downside. As always we let the price be our master and we be listening to hear what the market is telling us before we can take initiate any positions on the pair.


The major trend of the pair is bearish since we are making lower highs and lower lows. The last time we did analysis on this pair in November 2008, we saw a pin bar forming in a support-turn resistance zone. Furthermore, we see a descending price channel and the trendline has yet to be breached. A strong bearish force of the week has seen to the prices move much lower. Will the bears keep up with the momentum? As always the price is the king and we will wait for further price action to confirm the bears strength.

Summary: Although this currency pair has had a strong bull rally, the movement halted when a pin bar formed at the resistance area. A strong bear candle follows up in the first week of the year, an indication that this currency pair may have resumed the main bearish trend.


This currency has been in a sideways direction since late 2017, and the channel has held its ground up to now. There have been a few false breaks of the channel but the breakouts could not be sustained.

The bulls dominated the market in the late 2018 only to show signs of exhaustion by the weekly pin bars that have formed over the last three weeks. The bulls’ weakness was further demonstrated by the numerous whipsaws and false breaks swing highs and the market price finally finding its way back to the sideways channel.

The bears eventually retaliated with a strong rejection at the resistance level, plunging the prices down which may be an indication of a change in sentiment.

Summary: Since the market prices are back to the sideways channel we will wait for further price action signal(s) to guide us on the direction bias of the pair.


The kiwi has been on a losing streak and this pair has been on a significant downtrend. We see a break of the support and the price has come back to retest the price. The doji forms followed by the bears who have dominated the market. Are we going to see a continuation? We will let the price give us more light in the behavior of this pair in the forthcoming days.

CURRENCY PAIR: NZDCAD 17th – 21ST Dec, 2018 📈📊💰

This pair has been on a strong uptrend and the momentum of this pair is prone to exhaustion. The quick bullish move has definitely started showing signs of weakness as the market reaches the resistance zone. The pair is indecisive and the bears seem alert. The market main trend is bearish and this is a classic pullback to retest the break of this support. Nevertheless we will watch out for the price to guide us further in order to pick a bias.

CADCHF(10th December to 14th December)

Analysis: A close look at this pair reveals that prices are have been consolidating and forming a symmetrical triangle. This is a strong indication of an eminent break-out of prices. Therefore, we should expect a breakout on either side of the triangle, that is either to the upwards or to the downside.

Summary: At this point we do not know the direction of the anticipated break-out, we therefore sit and wait for a clear price action signal after prices have broken out to decide on our bias on this pair, that is whether to go long or short.