You got a cup of coffee set up on your table for today’s hangout? Maybe a bite to it? I’m doing mine without a bite. Because coffee is best taken without an accompaniment, in solitude, or at least that’s my way. But you’re right, we are not here today to talk about coffee rules, but to cover one of the most imperative aspects of any trader approaching Forex as a business.

A trading plan is the ‘business plan’ for us, traders. The most cognizant definition of a trading plan is ‘a well written guide that is prepared when the market is closed to inform your actions when the market is open.’ That kicks the beginning of the real talk! Any trader without a properly documented trading plan that guides all their trading actions when the market is open is doomed to fail. It is the surest tool that keeps us disciplined while trading the forex markets. We dwell in a business where we are constantly influenced by greed and fear, both emotions that are hard to battle without strict discipline. Any professional out there will tell you outrightly that without adhering to a properly laid down business plan and rules, you have low chances of survival in business. Unfortunately or fortunately for us traders, we can’t grow, leave alone survive, without following one.

Having a business plan is one thing, being informed of the right content and rules therein is another. And this will be our focus today. Now you’re welcome to serve your second cup of coffee.

1. Methodology

So what exactly is your methodology? This is the question I always pose to any new traders I meet out there, and you are not escaping it today. In case you ever meet anyone purporting to be a forex/stocks trader, please do the job for me, look straight into their eyes and shoot, ‘what exactly is your methodology? If they stutter or fumble with words, please be advised. Enough of my counseling! 

The first content of your trading plan methodology is to lay down the type of trading system/analysis upon which you base your trading decisions. Is it technical/price action trading (reading the chart patterns)? Or Fundamental trading (trading mainly based on economic-news events)? The latter is not an option for me, and for us at Fourthstreet Consultants. We trade purely based on price action, which is by studying and analyzing naked charts. This is because after all is said and done, everything about the forex/stocks market, including news events is discounted on the chart price movements. Price action is based on the fact that history repeats itself. Some chart patterns that have happened before, could be five weeks back, two years ago, or ten years back, will happen again, and again. Therefore, it is upon us to learn and master these unique chart patterns and trade them to our advantage. At least that is how I am able to foot my coffee bills for our hangouts here. That said, your trading plan must explain your methodology in detail. For price action traders like us, it should document your approach to the markets based on the following:

  1. Trend following
  2. Counter trend trading 
  3. Range bound trading  
  4. Breakouts 
  5. Candlestick formations

This list doesn’t end there, but it covers the main price action methodologies.

The next aspect that your trading plan must contain as far as methodology is concerned is the specific instruments/pairs that you will be analyzing and trading. This helps you follow up and grasp the patterns of the price movements of the instruments over the long run, which is paramount for the growth of your trading skills.

Listing the timeframes that you plan to be applying for your trading is also an integral part of your methodology. Will you analyze prices charts based on the 1 hour, 4hours, daily, weekly, or monthly time frame? Our Comprehensive Forex course equips you with a strategy we call ‘the top down approach,’ which is tailored to help you make informed trading decisions on the shorter time frame, that are aligned with the long term trend. Again, you’re welcome to join us here for this and more trading mentorship.

Lastly, your methodology should define your entry and exit guides. This is where stop losses and take profits come into play. The forex market platforms offer you with parameters to control your losses as well as set targets for profits without being necessarily online or logged in your trading account. You analyze, set the targets, and go about your other biashara (Swahili word for business).

2. RISK MANAGEMENT

Risk management is the backbone of forex trading. It is the only aspect that ensures your survival in the business of forex/stock/indices trading. It is only by managing your risk exposure that guarantees us of catching the next big move. I covered this and more extensively in an earlier article titled Forex trading as a business, you can catch up with it here when you have some time.

Your business plan must define your total risk based on your trading capital. It should expound the specific percentage of capital that you should risk per trade, and as such, the maximum number of trades you can have open at any one moment. As a general rule, you shouldn’t risk more than 1% of your capital per trade, and a total of 5% of your total capital in all your open trades. These rules are to be followed to the letter to achieve consistent returns in the long run. Our forex course expounds on this topic in videos, and goes further to show sample trades and how to employ the right risk management on a live forex account.

Additionally, your trading plan must inform how to avoid trading correlated instruments. This helps to limit risk exposure. By diversifying your portfolio, you stand to outlive losses and achieve success in your trading results.

At this point, please do the Indian headshake, that way I can confirm that you follow. Okay, let’s keep at it.

3. Record Keeping/ Trading Journal

In business, we talk of keeping inventories. From records of stock supplies, to sales, to profits & losses, to miscellaneous, among others. In forex trading, we keep inventories by filling and maintaining a trading journal. This is a comprehensive document whereby you pen down your trades, right from the specific instrument that you trade, to the entry price, to the reason (set-up) for taking the trade, and the exit price of the trade. You note that I haven’t mentioned listing down your risk to reward ratio because this is like the SI unit of placing a trade position. See what I did there?

Just like any other business, keeping a record of all your trades in your trading journal helps in the evaluation of performance over time. You are able to note the pairs/instruments that are least profitable and the methodology strategies that yields the highest rate of return. This way, you get to grow in your trading career, as you can always twitch where necessary to achieve better results. 

4. Psychology/Emotional Balance

I intentionally listed this aspect as the last component of your trading plan. Many a times, traders tend to underestimate how much having the right psychology and emotional balance can influence their trading results, yet it is what defines our long term success, almost ultimately. Throughout our lives, we have been programmed to avoid and hate losses. On the contrary, in trading we encounter losses frequently. I refer to them as ‘our cost of doing business.’ You cannot avoid losses in forex trading, and anyone who takes that path ends up in total ruin. As such, our job is to manage losses through setting up controls such as stop losses, trailing stop losses, and price levels available in our trading platforms.

It is your responsibility as a trader to call yourself to a meeting, understand how strong you can control your emotions of loss and fear. For instance, I advise new traders to keep off the markets for a week or so whenever they encounter a consecutive number of losses, instead of jumping back and trying ‘to make up’ for your losses. The latter only worsens the situation, as your mind won’t be in the right space to make sound decisions and for you to FOLLOW YOUR TRADING PLAN.

Everyone is different and only you can examine and put forth the best approach to help you maintain an emotional balance at all times, regardless of the trading results.

This is where we call it a day. You can master this and other aspects of Forex Trading with out top rated Forex Course. Please feel free to visit our blog on our website for our previous coffee hangouts, Okay, I mean the previous articles on other informative trading topics. Thanks ☺.

I must admit, it has been a while since I penned down an article, and what better topic to pick up than to demystify some of the biggest misconceptions about the Forex/Financial markets. It is okay for one to be inquisitive and doubtful, especially being quite a unique class of financial investment for many, but how you act upon getting the information and clarification is of utmost essence. Stick with me in this one, let’s indulge. In this article, as is always my thing, we are going to have a chat, one of those sessions where all you get to do is sip your coffee as I do the talking. 

Is forex trading legitimate? We are talking about the most liquid financial market in the world where more than 5.3 trillion dollars is exchanged every day. In economics, we call it an ‘over the counter’ business. This means than no one institution, no one retail company/Individual, no one country can control the forex markets. It is this high liquidity and stability that causes volatility, i.e. prices of different currencies and commodities moving up and down frequently and continuously. Oh, that last sentence is broken down for you like I am explaining to a five year old to ensure that all you do in this coffee chat is nod, and not ask questions. So that is how enormous the forex market is. It’s a conglomeration of buyers and sellers, everyone putting in their share (capital) on the table, and then trading taking place 24 hours, five straight days in a week, i.e. Sunday midnight to Friday midnight. These are details you can verify in our era of unlimited access to information.

Having said that, everything boils down to how you approach the forex markets, how knowledgeable you are about trading, your ability to analyze the markets for the best trading opportunities, i.e. the best buying and selling positions. I took you through how to approach forex as a business in our previous coffee hangout, that is how to trade forex as a business 

Moving on, did you know that your local bank performs forex trading every day? That your bank has forex traders on desks who trade forex (buy and sell currencies) on behalf of the bank? You may have walked into your bank to buy or exchange currencies, even better, you probably had to negotiate to get a good rate, especially if it was a considerable amount. This is the most realistic and open act of forex trading I can put across today. Your local bank has a team of dedicated forex traders who watch market prices daily, both local and international currencies, in order to trade and make money for the bank by taking advantage of the exchange rate variations. Every small tick in the price, up or down is an opportunity for them to buy or sell and bank some profits out of the margins. And good for them, we have entrusted our savings with them thereby guaranteeing them of liquidity. That part there my friend, is forex trading for you in its purest form.

That being said, the next big question for you would be; can I trade forex for a living? Allow me to tell you a little about myself. I started Forex trading 11 years ago. I have been trading fulltime up to date. I wake up to it every day, and I live off trading. The forex trading online course that we offer at Fourthstreet Consultants that comes with one on one training sessions is only an extension of our skills attained over many years, sharing our wisdom and mentorship to those willing to take up one of the most rewarding careers, when undertaken with utmost knowledge and skill. However, that is my story in a nutshell, and it’s not our hangout agenda for the day. If you wish, we can plan for another coffee hangout to talk about my journey, my career, the highs and the lows, then you get to know more about myself.

You can trade forex either part time or full time. This is largely dependent on a number of factors, some personal and others capital related. For instance, if you have a fulltime job, it would be best for you to trade part-time. All you would need to do is employ trading techniques which require you to analyze the forex markets and place your trades every close of day. These lessons and skills are all covered in expansive video lessons and well laid out trading strategies available on our online forex course, together with personalized training sessions that we offer at our offices. The beauty of forex trading platforms is that they provide the parameters for you to scale and control your risk and reward, as such, you get to limit how much you can lose or gain anytime you are placing a trade, whether you are present online or not. We teach about end of day market analysis trade executions in our comprehensive forex course. This is where you get to analyze the various currency and commodity markets to place trades based on rewarding opportunities at night towards the close of the day’s trading session. In a previous hangout, I talked about how correlated trading and hunting is, you can catch up on all that here. This article goes ahead to expound that in forex trading, the best trades are the ones that are carefully selected (hunted), and that less is more in trading. This means that you only need a few quality trade set-ups in a month to make your margin as opposed to executing too many trades. Too many trades means more exposure of your capital, and therefore more risk to your portfolio. 

That being said, one can as well take up forex trading full time. And what’s better yet, even for those who do trading as their main job doesn’t need to be stuck on their computer screens the whole day. You only need to screen and analyze the different forex charts for trading opportunities periodically, for example every four hours, or six hours, or for some traders like me, every 12 hours. This gives you the freedom and the space to take care of some other business and/or family while at the same time allowing your trades the space and time that they need to work out as per your edge. However, for it to be fully rewarding and supportive for your daily needs, you would need to invest a significant amount of capital for the reckonings to work out. Just like any other business, investing a bigger capital yields more considerable returns that would sustain you for a fulltime business. Don’t fall in the fantasy and misconceptions that are out there that you can make high returns in forex trading from a small amount of capital. IT NEVER WORKS. 

And this is where we call it a day for our coffee hangout. Thank you for being a decent audience, even when your right of speech was breached ☺.

Even though you may have the expertise in Forex Trading, that is not the only factor that determines your long term success as a Forex trader. You may have all the knowledge and the know-how on Forex trading strategies, efficient and faster platforms and risk management but without knowing how to manage your emotions, you cannot become successful in trading Forex. Remember that precious money is involved while trading and it can be easily lost. In this blog, we will discuss about the kind of emotions that a Forex Trader should avoid to achieve success.

Greed

Greed is definitely a huge obstacle while trading. It is understood that one may get huge returns from Forex but one has to be cautious no to be greedy and try to get huge returns on every trade. This may lead you to blow your account. Risking your whole balance on an account for a single trade speculating an enormous return is not the way to earn from Forex trading. Forex trading is undoubtedly not a ‘Get Rich Quick’ scheme. If you want to get rich, you have to do it slowly.

To overcome greed, one needs to accept the fact that not all trades end up being successful. With this in mind, you know that the market is bigger than you and mistakes are bound to happen. Follow your trading plans instead of falling into greed. Make sure you always risk a small percentage of your capital in every single trade, and follow through this plan to the point.

Impatience

Depending on the type of strategy you might adopt to trade Forex, it should tell you when and where to get into a trade (Price action trading). At least this is true for us and is what we train our traders at Fourthstreet Consultants. You may jump into an entry point prematurely and miss a better entry point that would have earned a profit but end up finding yourself taking a loss.

If your timing seems inadequate despite adopting patience, adjust your strategy so that you may be able to observe more indicators. This will allow you to grow your patience and save you from entering into trades prematurely. This in turn allows you to earn more profit in your trades and make your trading less frustrating. You can only learn these skills from professional traders who have been successful in their trading career, and is what Fourthstreet.co.ke offers its traders/students.

Fear

Fear in Forex trading is understandable. Experiencing fear is normal. This fear understandably results from the increased possibility of losing money while placing trades due to certain uncertainties in the Forex market. This can happen to every trader.

For example, you hold a position and the price starts dropping. You start getting nervous about losing money considering your last trade was quite unsuccessful. You decide that you cannot keep losing money despite your adopted strategy encouraging you to remain resilient and you decide to close early. The next thing that happens is that the price support comes into play and the price also rises. This shows that your fear was the detriment to your trade and it forces you take a loss.

To avoid this, you need to identify the source of your fear and understand how to deal with them to become a better Forex trader. That way you will have turned your fear to a source of improvement.

Over-confidence

Having a series of successful trades is really good but this can also lead to over-confidence. You may think that you can’t lose and that there are absolutely no errors in your methods or strategies. Confidence is indeed quite important to become a successful trader. However, this is not the case when you think you know everything about the market. Over-confident traders tend to get into trouble by trading larger positions than they are used to or even overtrading.

A successful trader needs to always evaluate their trades despite having a long run at gaining profits from Forex. You also need to implement your strategy and implement the right entry points. Needless to say, you also need to limit your losses despite having earned a lot from the previous trades. If you are not careful, you may end up losing all your gains from previous trades.

Conclusion

Mastering your trading psychology won’t make you money in itself, but if you are not aware of the tricks your own mind is trying to play on itself, you will probably find yourself losing even if you are a good trader and are basically right in your trading decisions.

FourthStreet Consultants offers an Online Forex Course that delves deep into the right trading psychology to adopt and much more in order to become a professional trader.

FourthStreet Consultants all-inclusive Online Course program for those committed to becoming a successful trader provides step-by-step trading basics that will equip you with the knowledge and information you need to understand and make consistent returns from the Forex market.

The objectives of FourthStreet Consultants Education Package are:

  • To guide candidates in mastering a professional body of knowledge and in developing fundamental and technical analytical skills.
  • To promote and encourage the highest standards of forex education.
  • To empower many to be able to seize income-generating opportunities through forex trading.

Enroll for the Online Forex Course here https://fourthstreet.co.ke/forex-training/

WHAT IS FOREX TRADING?

Forex Trading is basically the act of buying and selling currencies. In a typical foreign exchange transaction, an entity purchases one currency by paying with another currency.

Forex trading involves the trading of currencies against one another in pairs. Each currency pair thus constitutes an individual trading product and is traditionally noted – EURUSD or EUR/USD just as an example. The first currency (EUR) is the base currency that is quoted relative to the second currency (USD) which is called the counter currency. For example, the quotation EURUSD (EUR/USD) 1.5656 means that 1 Euro = 1.656 US Dollars.

WHO TRADES ON FOREX?

Before the advent of the internet and advancements in technology, the Forex market was only reserved for big players such as big banks, hedge funds, multinational corporations, governments, and central banks.

Things have changed from that period in time with the aid of technological advancements in the Information Technology sector. Access to the market has now been made easier for individual traders and investors. Forex traders can now trade on the Forex market from anywhere around the world as long as they have a computer and an internet connection.

Forex trading is performed by individual traders, institutional investors, corporations, central banks and banks. The reasons these entities trade in Forex range from balancing the markets, facilitating international trade and tourism and making profits.

THE FOREX MARKET

The Forex market is the largest and most liquid financial market in the world with an average daily turnover of $5.3 trillion. Approximately half of this turnover comes from foreign exchange swaps. The rest include spot transactions, outright forwards, currency swaps, foreign exchange options and other products.

Being such a huge market, this means that no single market participant can significantly influence the currencies’ exchange rates. With this in mind, it is important to note that the Forex market hence provides a fair market pricing to all participants.

The market assists international trade and investments by enabling currency conversion. For example, it allows Kenya to import goods from China and pay in the Chinese Yuan instead of the Kenyan Shilling.  It also supports direct speculation and evaluation relative to the value of currencies and the carry trade speculation, based on the differential interest rate between two currencies.

The Forex Market is also quite unique. This is as a result of the following characteristics:

  • It has a huge trading volume. This also means it has a high level of liquidity, which translates to more opportunities to make money.
  • The concept of leverage while placing investments. It is used to significantly increase returns earned from the investments/trades
  • This market operates 24 hours a day, 5 days a week. This means it operates at all times and on all days except on weekends.

WHAT IS TRADED ON FOREX?

There are eight major currencies in the world: the US dollar (USD), euro (EUR), the British pound (GBP), the Swiss franc (CHF), the Canadian dollar (CAD), the Australian dollar (AUD), the New Zealand dollar (NZD), and the Japanese yen (JPY).

There are also other currencies that are not as heavily traded as the major currencies which are known as exotic currencies. Some examples include: the Turkish Lira, the Swedish Krona, the Norwegian Krone, the Danish Krone, the South African Rand, the Hong Kong Dollar and the Singapore Dollar.  Trading these currencies should be left to the more experienced traders, as they can move a lot in very short periods of time and usually involve higher transaction costs than major currencies.

All currency pairs that involve the US Dollar and any of the other major currencies are called “major pairs”. This remains so even if the US Dollar appears as the base or counter currency. In the case where the pairs do not include the US Dollar, but they include two of the remaining seven major currencies, the pairs are called “cross pairs”.

HOW TRADERS MAKE A PROFIT

Forex traders try to buy a currency cheap and sell it later at a higher price. However, there’s also a way to profit when prices fall through a technique called “short selling”.

For example, if the Euro vs. US Dollar is currently trading at 1.5050 and a trader believes that the exchange rate will rise in the future, they would be compelled to buy the pair at the current rate. If after a few hours or days the exchange rate trades at 1.5150, the trader would have made a profit.

CONCLUSION

If you feel like you need to start trading, or you would like to take your trading to the next level, FourthStreet Consultants offers a comprehensive Online Forex Course which is an all-inclusive program for those committed to becoming successful traders. It provides step-by-step trading basics that will equip you with the knowledge and information you need to understand and trade in the Forex market. The Forex Online Course comes with free one-on-one consultations to the signed students, which is done either at the company offices at Karen, Nairobi, or at the student’s convenience with prior arrangement.

Today’s article, Trading-vs-Hunting is inspired by a book. ‘The One thing’ is one of the greatest books I have read and would strongly advice you get. In his book, Gary Keller undertakes to cover in detail the greatest people and the biggest companies that have achieved enormous success mainly by mastering the one thing/skill they are good at, thereby maximizing on their performance and success.

As traders, we should learn from this book, and use the concept of mastering your strength, and banking more on your area of strength as a trader, whether you are a day trader, a position trader, or a swing trader.

Am sure by now you probably wondering why the topic ‘trading vs. hunting’? There are many similarities between successful/high probability trading and hunting. Let’s use a lion hunting for prey in the jungle. Lion in our case being you, the trader, the jungle being the forex market, and the prey being the trading opportunities that we are always looking to find on the markets.

If you have watched the national geographic, then you’d understand the hunting style of a lion, and other cats in the jungle. No matter how hungry the lion is, there is a formula that he uses to hunt. He doesn’t jump out rightly to chase the prey. First, on spotting the prey, he always takes cover, then watches the prey. At this point, I equate lion watching the prey to a trader studying and analyzing the forex markets/pairs that he/she’s looking to trade. After a careful and a thorough evaluation of the prey, the lion then spots the easiest target to catch, whether it is a weak prey, or one that is at the direction that is easier for him to chase.

This is the highlight of today’s article. So then what lessons do we learn as traders from the hunting style of the king of the jungle? At this point, how does hunting relate to trading? One of the most obvious lessons we learn today is that just like the lion, we as traders must not rush at our ‘prey’, i.e. opening random positions in the market, before taking our time to evaluate our chances of ‘catching the prey’ i.e. analyzing and identifying winning trades in the markets. At any one second on the markets, there’s always price movements and volatility, but it is not all the time that we get to identify high probability trades, which have high chances of making us money.

It is therefore paramount that traders need to analyze the markets using the techniques of price action, trend following, while observing the long-term support and resistance zones, in order to go for an ‘obvious’ trade that offers a good loss to profit ratio of 1:2 and above in order to make consistent money in the market. Mastering such strategies, and attaining the discipline of the patience of the lion requires proper trading education, and new traders to practice trading on the live markets while employing the trading education and strategies acquired from the courses they undertake.

As I conclude, it is paramount to note that the lion might not always catch the prey he chooses to chase, but most of the times he catches he’s prey of choice. This relates to trading in that it goes further to show that as traders, we will experience some losing trades, but as long as we have more winning trades that have high ratios of loss to profit, then and only then can we be guaranteed of successful trading and making money consistently from the markets day after day, month after month, year after year.

 

Joshua Matumo,

Fourthstreet Consultants.

Forex Trading as a business

What comes to your mind when you hear or think about forex trading? What makes you wake up every day to open the markets and initiate positions? Is it the excitement that comes with the ever volatile currency markets where 5.3 trillion dollars is traded every day, or is it the short-term gratification that comes with winning small moves in the market? Probably, it might be the applauses you get from your friends and family on how much of a ‘Financial markets expert you.’

I have highlighted the above questions, not to judge but to get your attention on some of the major reasons why you probably haven’t been able to make money consistently from trading the markets, or why you have lost more money than you had invested in trading the forex markets. In fact, I personally fell prey to some of the above effects when I was starting my career 9 years ago, so it is about the right time for you to stay woke and approach trading as a business and as a profession.

Let’s ponder on some life realities for a minute, before I move on to the ‘meat’ of this article. It is common knowledge that engineers, doctors, and lawyers need to attend school for quite a number of years, ranging from 4 to 7 years, before they are expected to be professionals and earn a living. Soccer and basketball players start playing in their lower grades, then proceed to play in college, before they are finally enrolled to play professionally in competitive clubs. Then the obvious question is, Why should traders think they are any different?? Why do traders think they can be professionals and make a fortune from trading the markets after reading a couple of articles and demo trading for a few weeks?? I promised myself that I would rather tell the hard nock truth, get few followers or mentees, than preach the easy gospel of easy money making from trading the markets that is not real. Furthermore, any professional trader will out rightly tell you that trading the markets is one of the most tactical careers you’ll ever undertake, and if you don’t follow the disciplines and the rules, you’ll end up living a frustrated life. Sounds harsh, right? But is it not a common ideal in life, where you have to do your research, weigh your chances, and do a SWOT analysis before getting into any business, job, or venture.

Trading the forex markets as a business requires several key disciplines that come with proper education and practicing trading on live markets. One of the most important elements of professional trading is risk/money management. Learning proper risk/money management skills is paramount in successful trading as a business. Traders learn on how much percentage of their capital they should risk on a single trade. Money management is the only discipline that guarantees traders of the survival and their ability to catch the next opportunity in the market. It allows capital preservation in that you control your risk per trade, thereby preserving your bigger capital to enable you catch the next market moves.

Attaining the right Trader Psychology is equally important in trading as a business. Once you begin your trading career you will soon realize that emotions are involved in trading, especially if it is your real money on the line, and sometimes you have to watch as you get a loss on your capital in the market. If you are among the group of traders that can’t catch some sleep watching your traders overnight, or you can’t leave your computer due to fear of losing, then your money management and trader psychology are in question, and you desperately need to change your trading habits. This can only be achieved by accessing proper trading education like the training we offer here at Fourthstreet Consultants or any other reputable forex courses.

Thirdly, trading as a business requires one to keep their record of trading activities. This means recording their point of entry, the size of their trades (lot sizes), their predetermined stop losses, and take profits, exit points, and the outcome of the trade. Traders are able to do this by using a trading Journal. This way they can track their performance and note their weakness thereby growing holistically in their trading career.

Last but not the least, trading as a business calls for traders to have an in-depth knowledge of trading strategies, understand daily market movements, and chart patterns. People who wish to venture into online trading need to invest in getting education on price action, and how to study and analyze the forex markets, in order to trade profitable, and to join the winning team of high probability traders. Such skills, disciplines, and trading strategies for new and existing traders can be achieved from our comprehensive Price action course that we offer at FourthStreet Consultants. Those who sign up with our course get mentorship from our team of professional and experienced traders who offer Consultation on phone, email, and physical meetings at our offices every day of the week. I wish you happy trading, and that you learn to approach trading as a business.

‘When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble’ is one of the many quotes by Warren Buffet that I love. More Importantly, I have highlighted it at the beginning of this article as it is relevant to our topic. We shall indulge more on what message Mr. Buffet was trying to pass across. That being said, What is high probability trading? What does it entail? What skills or strategies do traders need to employ in the market to be in the smaller margin/percentage of traders that make consistent money in the market?

Anyone can be a trader. As long as you know how to open a couple of positions in the markets, with little knowledge of price action, fundamental analytical skills, and risk management, you qualify to be a trader. However, few people in world are successful professional traders. By successful we imply consistent profitability in the markets year after year. Our sole goal at Fourthstreet Consultants is to create a community of successful high probability traders that can make money consistently in the market, thereby earning a living solely from trading the markets, if they wish to specialize.

High Probability trading can be achieved by having a low risk/high profit ratio. Professional traders’ sole goal in the market is not to open as many positions as their capital allows, but to trade the markets with the odds in their favor. What if I told you today that you only need a couple of trades every month to be profitable consistently in the market? Three or four trades a month are enough to have an edge in the market. This is the highlight of this article. At this point, we revisit Warren Buffet’s quote, ‘when it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble.’ This statement was meant to awaken traders understand that good opportunities to trade in the market come infrequently. There is always few good opportunities to open positions at any one moment in the forex markets. If you are looking for high probability trading opportunities, you got to be patient, not to open trades out of anxiety or boredom, the goal is to do nothing the meantime, preserve your capital, and then go big when the ‘big’ boys are moving the markets. I hope you roger that point!

One of the most rewarding strategy to identify the best trading opportunities is by applying price action strategies. This involves studying chart patterns, trends, channels and related pointers. More often, high probability trading opportunities are found within a trending market. Counter trend dips might earn you a few pips, but you will end up losing the opportunity to catch the big moves when market is correcting to rejoin the long term trend. And this is where money is made. The best part with trading within a trend is that it allows traders to risk less, and earn more, which is the ultimate goal of any trader who is trading forex as a business.

Attaining such skills to identify high probability trading opportunities in the market, and the discipline of patience to preserve your capital long enough to rip from the big market moves, requires one to invest in a comprehensive reputable trading course and mentorship from traders who have a proven track record in the market. Invest in education, earn the experience, and soon you will find yourself on the road to financial independence and a career in trading the financial markets.

 

 

Joshua Matumo,

Fourthstreet Consultants.