Weekly Analysis of Trade Set ups and Ideas EURAUD 26th - 30th Nov 2018

EURAUD (26th November to 30th November, 2018)

A close look at this pair’s weekly time frame reveals a well formed weekly price channel that has held grounds since January 2017 up to date. Prices have respected the boundaries of the channel. This week and the following weeks we’ll continue to watch for reversal price action signals around the upper and the lower boundaries to trade within the channel.

Summary: Unless prices break out of the channel, we’ll continue to trade along the price channel.

Weekly Analysis of Trade Set ups & Ideas USDCHF

USDCHF (19th November to 23rd November)

We analyzed this pair last week, and we are still on a ranging market. There has been a strong bullish rally but the US dollar might be losing its strength on this strong resistance zone which has held grounds for the last three years!!

Summary: The bears are taking control of this pair based on last week reversal candlestick. Therefore, we will be closely monitoring this pair for trend reversal price action patterns/signals to confirm our bias to go short on the pair.

AUDCAD (19th November to 23rd November)

The pair recently bounced off the major support area as highlighted in yellow, forming a series of strong bullish weekly candlesticks. The bullish momentum has been quite strong. The price is now at a significant zone which acted as the previous support. The prices might stall, reverse, or continue with the momentum (.i.e. if buyers have enough strength).

Summary: We will therefore be watching the market behavior of this pair around this zone, for price action to guide us on which direction the pair will be headed in the coming days and weeks.

On our weekly Trade Forex Analysis of Trade set ups and ideas for August 27th to august 31st, here is our analysis:

weekly trade set up & ideas analysis BY FOURTHSTREET CONSULTANTS

Currency pair: EURUSD
Summary: This week’s price surged high after last week’s market reversal as the bulls took over. Currently, we look forward to trade along the upward trend, as we watch the long-term resistance level of 1.1412 turn into a new support line. We therefore watch for  price action signals on any market weakness to rejoin the upward trend.
FourthStreet Consultants Weekly Trade Forex Analysis of Trade set ups and ideas for August 27th to august 31st.

Today’s article, Trading-vs-Hunting is inspired by a book. ‘The One thing’ is one of the greatest books I have read and would strongly advice you get. In his book, Gary Keller undertakes to cover in detail the greatest people and the biggest companies that have achieved enormous success mainly by mastering the one thing/skill they are good at, thereby maximizing on their performance and success.

As traders, we should learn from this book, and use the concept of mastering your strength, and banking more on your area of strength as a trader, whether you are a day trader, a position trader, or a swing trader.

Am sure by now you probably wondering why the topic ‘trading vs. hunting’? There are many similarities between successful/high probability trading and hunting. Let’s use a lion hunting for prey in the jungle. Lion in our case being you, the trader, the jungle being the forex market, and the prey being the trading opportunities that we are always looking to find on the markets.

If you have watched the national geographic, then you’d understand the hunting style of a lion, and other cats in the jungle. No matter how hungry the lion is, there is a formula that he uses to hunt. He doesn’t jump out rightly to chase the prey. First, on spotting the prey, he always takes cover, then watches the prey. At this point, I equate lion watching the prey to a trader studying and analyzing the forex markets/pairs that he/she’s looking to trade. After a careful and a thorough evaluation of the prey, the lion then spots the easiest target to catch, whether it is a weak prey, or one that is at the direction that is easier for him to chase.

This is the highlight of today’s article. So then what lessons do we learn as traders from the hunting style of the king of the jungle? At this point, how does hunting relate to trading? One of the most obvious lessons we learn today is that just like the lion, we as traders must not rush at our ‘prey’, i.e. opening random positions in the market, before taking our time to evaluate our chances of ‘catching the prey’ i.e. analyzing and identifying winning trades in the markets. At any one second on the markets, there’s always price movements and volatility, but it is not all the time that we get to identify high probability trades, which have high chances of making us money.

It is therefore paramount that traders need to analyze the markets using the techniques of price action, trend following, while observing the long-term support and resistance zones, in order to go for an ‘obvious’ trade that offers a good loss to profit ratio of 1:2 and above in order to make consistent money in the market. Mastering such strategies, and attaining the discipline of the patience of the lion requires proper trading education, and new traders to practice trading on the live markets while employing the trading education and strategies acquired from the courses they undertake.

As I conclude, it is paramount to note that the lion might not always catch the prey he chooses to chase, but most of the times he catches he’s prey of choice. This relates to trading in that it goes further to show that as traders, we will experience some losing trades, but as long as we have more winning trades that have high ratios of loss to profit, then and only then can we be guaranteed of successful trading and making money consistently from the markets day after day, month after month, year after year.

 

Joshua Matumo,

Fourthstreet Consultants.

Forex Trading as a business

What comes to your mind when you hear or think about forex trading? What makes you wake up every day to open the markets and initiate positions? Is it the excitement that comes with the ever volatile currency markets where 5.3 trillion dollars is traded every day, or is it the short-term gratification that comes with winning small moves in the market? Probably, it might be the applauses you get from your friends and family on how much of a ‘Financial markets expert you.’

I have highlighted the above questions, not to judge but to get your attention on some of the major reasons why you probably haven’t been able to make money consistently from trading the markets, or why you have lost more money than you had invested in trading the forex markets. In fact, I personally fell prey to some of the above effects when I was starting my career 9 years ago, so it is about the right time for you to stay woke and approach trading as a business and as a profession.

Let’s ponder on some life realities for a minute, before I move on to the ‘meat’ of this article. It is common knowledge that engineers, doctors, and lawyers need to attend school for quite a number of years, ranging from 4 to 7 years, before they are expected to be professionals and earn a living. Soccer and basketball players start playing in their lower grades, then proceed to play in college, before they are finally enrolled to play professionally in competitive clubs. Then the obvious question is, Why should traders think they are any different?? Why do traders think they can be professionals and make a fortune from trading the markets after reading a couple of articles and demo trading for a few weeks?? I promised myself that I would rather tell the hard nock truth, get few followers or mentees, than preach the easy gospel of easy money making from trading the markets that is not real. Furthermore, any professional trader will out rightly tell you that trading the markets is one of the most tactical careers you’ll ever undertake, and if you don’t follow the disciplines and the rules, you’ll end up living a frustrated life. Sounds harsh, right? But is it not a common ideal in life, where you have to do your research, weigh your chances, and do a SWOT analysis before getting into any business, job, or venture.

Trading the forex markets as a business requires several key disciplines that come with proper education and practicing trading on live markets. One of the most important elements of professional trading is risk/money management. Learning proper risk/money management skills is paramount in successful trading as a business. Traders learn on how much percentage of their capital they should risk on a single trade. Money management is the only discipline that guarantees traders of the survival and their ability to catch the next opportunity in the market. It allows capital preservation in that you control your risk per trade, thereby preserving your bigger capital to enable you catch the next market moves.

Attaining the right Trader Psychology is equally important in trading as a business. Once you begin your trading career you will soon realize that emotions are involved in trading, especially if it is your real money on the line, and sometimes you have to watch as you get a loss on your capital in the market. If you are among the group of traders that can’t catch some sleep watching your traders overnight, or you can’t leave your computer due to fear of losing, then your money management and trader psychology are in question, and you desperately need to change your trading habits. This can only be achieved by accessing proper trading education like the training we offer here at Fourthstreet Consultants or any other reputable forex courses.

Thirdly, trading as a business requires one to keep their record of trading activities. This means recording their point of entry, the size of their trades (lot sizes), their predetermined stop losses, and take profits, exit points, and the outcome of the trade. Traders are able to do this by using a trading Journal. This way they can track their performance and note their weakness thereby growing holistically in their trading career.

Last but not the least, trading as a business calls for traders to have an in-depth knowledge of trading strategies, understand daily market movements, and chart patterns. People who wish to venture into online trading need to invest in getting education on price action, and how to study and analyze the forex markets, in order to trade profitable, and to join the winning team of high probability traders. Such skills, disciplines, and trading strategies for new and existing traders can be achieved from our comprehensive Price action course that we offer at FourthStreet Consultants. Those who sign up with our course get mentorship from our team of professional and experienced traders who offer Consultation on phone, email, and physical meetings at our offices every day of the week. I wish you happy trading, and that you learn to approach trading as a business.

‘When it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble’ is one of the many quotes by Warren Buffet that I love. More Importantly, I have highlighted it at the beginning of this article as it is relevant to our topic. We shall indulge more on what message Mr. Buffet was trying to pass across. That being said, What is high probability trading? What does it entail? What skills or strategies do traders need to employ in the market to be in the smaller margin/percentage of traders that make consistent money in the market?

Anyone can be a trader. As long as you know how to open a couple of positions in the markets, with little knowledge of price action, fundamental analytical skills, and risk management, you qualify to be a trader. However, few people in world are successful professional traders. By successful we imply consistent profitability in the markets year after year. Our sole goal at Fourthstreet Consultants is to create a community of successful high probability traders that can make money consistently in the market, thereby earning a living solely from trading the markets, if they wish to specialize.

High Probability trading can be achieved by having a low risk/high profit ratio. Professional traders’ sole goal in the market is not to open as many positions as their capital allows, but to trade the markets with the odds in their favor. What if I told you today that you only need a couple of trades every month to be profitable consistently in the market? Three or four trades a month are enough to have an edge in the market. This is the highlight of this article. At this point, we revisit Warren Buffet’s quote, ‘when it rains gold, put out the bucket, not the thimble.’ This statement was meant to awaken traders understand that good opportunities to trade in the market come infrequently. There is always few good opportunities to open positions at any one moment in the forex markets. If you are looking for high probability trading opportunities, you got to be patient, not to open trades out of anxiety or boredom, the goal is to do nothing the meantime, preserve your capital, and then go big when the ‘big’ boys are moving the markets. I hope you roger that point!

One of the most rewarding strategy to identify the best trading opportunities is by applying price action strategies. This involves studying chart patterns, trends, channels and related pointers. More often, high probability trading opportunities are found within a trending market. Counter trend dips might earn you a few pips, but you will end up losing the opportunity to catch the big moves when market is correcting to rejoin the long term trend. And this is where money is made. The best part with trading within a trend is that it allows traders to risk less, and earn more, which is the ultimate goal of any trader who is trading forex as a business.

Attaining such skills to identify high probability trading opportunities in the market, and the discipline of patience to preserve your capital long enough to rip from the big market moves, requires one to invest in a comprehensive reputable trading course and mentorship from traders who have a proven track record in the market. Invest in education, earn the experience, and soon you will find yourself on the road to financial independence and a career in trading the financial markets.

 

 

Joshua Matumo,

Fourthstreet Consultants.