EURCAD

With price at the neckline of our double bottom and at the same time the resistance of the ascending channel. Our vigilance is called for as to whether price will break out or be resisted back to the support of the triangle.

SUMMARY.

This is an important price confluence area and we will follow price on a breakout or a reversion of price back to the support of the triangle.


DISCLAIMER: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.

NZDCAD

The double bottom occurrence is a price pattern indicative of bullish momentum upon a breakout on the upside.

SUMMARY.

We patiently wait for price action to guide on whether to follow price after the breakout or rebound downwards upon being resisted at the neckline.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.

USDCAD

After a period of consolidation into what we refer to as a symmetrical triangle, price broke out on the downside.

SUMMARY.

This is a clear and good indication of bear power coming into the market. We closely monitor this pair to see how long this price waterfall will last and key areas to join in the move


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.

CHFJPY

Price has been on an uptrend looking at the weekly time frame with a retracement in the pattern of a descending channel on the daily time frame.

SUMMARY.

Following the breakout of the descending channel to the upside, very high chances that the bulls may continue pushing price higher.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.

In the legal profession, lawyers and advocates are always guided by one major ethical code throughout their practice, whether in the courts or their outdoor legal engagements; they must never disclose or discuss details shared to them by their clients in confidence with outside parties. This practice is commonly referred to as ‘The Rule of Confidentiality.’ With this code of practice, any details shared by a lawyer in a court of law that was disclosed to them in confidence by their clients is dismissible and can be rendered futile by the presiding judge/advocate. This rule holds grounds throughout their practice unless the courts or the Law otherwise demands or provides grounds strong enough to necessitate the lawyer/advocate to disclose such confidential information.

That’s too much legal talk for a Forex & CFD’s trading article, right? All this will make total sense in a moment. Let’s call it ‘the preempting before the sentence.’

The rule of information confidentiality applies equally for the esteemed medical profession. No doctor or medical practitioner is allowed to discuss their patients’ diagnosis and treatment status with their colleagues or spouses. The ‘Confidentiality Rule’ holds grounds and guides their professional practice, the same way as the legal profession.It is with this resonance that as professional Forex and CFD’s traders, we must as well uphold this healthy code of ethical practice when going about our trading activities, and to stay truthful to the Rule of Confidentiality. Never at any point and time should a trader share or make public their open/running trades to their friends or to the public. The fact that isn’t an oversight body to keep us in-check in our adherence to this rule must be our very reason to develop self-engraved discipline if we are to achieve meaningful and long term trading success. There are very few professions, not even the legal nor the medical profession, where the rule of confidentiality has ever been so imperative to the welfare and value-based performance than in the trading business. The ability to develop strong self-restraint and discipline among traders cannot be overstated. This principle falls on the significance of upholding the right trading psychology as a strategic ingredient in achieving long term successful trading.

The main reasoning behind this rule is that once a trader makes their trades known to their peers or to the public, or any other party for that matter, (even worse to their spouses) is that it invites the emotional burden of ego and pride, driven by the desire ‘to be right’. Human beings possess an inborn urge to be right. Over the years, society has condemned failure and losses as if they define your ultimate destiny. On the contrary, it is the challenges, failures, and losses we encounter in life that grow our resilience and grit to break free and make a mark in achieving success. As a rule of the thumb, anyone who doesn’t experience failure or losses, whether in trading or in life, is either not trying at all or not doing enough, and is therefore self-limiting.

At Fourthstreet Consultants, we don’t discuss or publicize our live trades. This only causes one to grow the ‘need’ to convince the other party of how ‘right’ they were. Consequently, this mounts their ego and clouds their judgment, thereby distorting their actions, which ultimately leads to costly mistakes. Mistakes that could easily be avoided by keeping calm, and strictly following your trading plan to guide all your actions in the markets.

It’s okay to share trading ideas and thoughts as that shows one’s command and understanding of their trading business, but no trader should ever make their personal open trades public, unless one is doing it purely for educational purposes only. 

For instance, Module (III) of our comprehensive Forex course covers a full three months of live trading. We took our time to record every trade we took live on the market charts for our trainees/traders, recording both the losing and the winning trades. We adopted this approach because there’s no better way of teaching than illustrating live. Every trainer must demonstrate their craft or skills live to their students. Otherwise how can you teach that which you can’t practice? The recorded live trading sessions, together with the test of the Forex trading course educational content is only accessible to our members who sign up for our Online course.

The goal was to illustrate and teach our traders that losses are part of the trading business, the same way you cannot avoid losses in life or in any other ‘real’ business. You can only control and keep the losses small, while locking in big profitable trades. At the end of the three months of our live trading as is covered in our Online Forex course, (which is essentially a quarter of a year) we made a great deal of net profit, even with the few losses we encountered factored in.

Lesson of the day; whether you’re a novice or an experienced trader, strive to develop the discipline of ‘not disclosing your open trades,’ keep them private. In case you get the urge to talk about them, it’s advised you write them down in your trading journal to keep track of your progress and performance. Otherwise they will dent your ego and confidence in your trading system, especially if your trades end up as losers.

Joshua Matumo,

Founder, Fourthstreet Consultants.

NZDCAD

This pair is currently trading within a descending channel whereby price has been resisted by the channel’s resistance, evident by the presence of a bearish engulfing.

SUMMARY.

The engulfing shows potential reversal around the resistance having engulfed a couple of candlesticks. Look for price action confirmation on the lower time frames to join the downtrend. Lack of bearish confirmation may result in a rally back to the upper boundary of channel.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.

USDJPY

The pair is currently trading within a major support zone and a long term trend line which matches up as resistance. Prices are currently at the support zone.

SUMMARY.

This week we shall be looking for reversal buy signals in the lower time frames of daily and 4 hour, or otherwise, as price action directs.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.

EURAUD

Bulls have been driving the price to the moon on the weekly chart of the Euro versus the Australian Dollar for the last 14 months but they assumed renewed vigor since February this year. Four weeks ago a predominant pin bar doubling as a mother candlestick formed which was the genesis of lower prices. As expected following a pin bar of that magnitude price moved further lower forming inside bars. Then a breakout candlestick occurred confirming the inside bars for continuation of the downtrend.

SUMMARY.

We may be looking at the early stages of a retracement in the larger uptrend or a complete reversal only time will tell which is which. Price may possibly halt at the near term resistance level, therefore continue monitoring your charts for opportunities to join in the impending price moves.

XAUEUR

Focusing on the unending uptrend of the Gold versus the Euro on the daily time frame which has persisted for 16 months and resulted in the formation of an inverse head and shoulder pattern in the past 6 weeks. This pattern is a potential signal for higher prices provided it breaks out on the upside which it did in fact with a reversal candlestick pattern at the neckline signalling a retest. Price is however at a very significant price level which has been a resistance zone in the past.

SUMMARY.

In as much as we have high probability bullish signals, take utmost caution since price is at a resistance zone and a major one. Further price action as always will ultimately guide us on the right path to follow.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.

EURJPY

Since the month of December last year a bear market ensued on the Euro versus the Japanese Yen which is clearly seen by the descending price channel that has formed since then. Price has respected the resistance and support levels of the channel to the tee. Safe to say that the main trend is a downtrend. Last week’s candlestick was bearish closing off at the support level.

SUMMARY.

While the market is trading within the channel we should be patiently waiting for a breakout and follow price in that direction. The breakout may happen on either side of the channel therefore let’s be vigilant and avoid getting caught up in predicting the market movements before the breakout happens.

GBPNZD

Examining the weekly chart of the British dollar versus the New Zealand dollar which has been on an uptrend for the past 10 months, we can see that the trend up has entered a new phase. An ascending triangle formed which broke out above the pattern. A breakout on the upside of a pattern within an uptrend is a strong signal as it’s in line with the current trend.

SUMMARY.

In addition to the breakout we also have a weekly confirmation candle. The resistance of the pattern also coincides with a major level. Therefore we have a breakout out of a major level as well as a chart pattern. That’s an example of a trading confluence. As further price action guides us on the bull market, watch for the ideal areas to join the trend in case you missed an earlier entry.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.

NZDCAD

For the past year the New Zealand Dollar versus the Canadian Dollar has been on a steep downtrend with one major retracement visible on the weekly time frame. Price was recently at our major level which has been acting as our support zone. In the previous week price was supported and a dominant bullish candlestick was formed.

SUMMARY.

A bullish engulfing is a potential  reversal candlestick formation, however we can see that we have a resistance zone as our trend line a few pips away from the current price level. Further price action will ultimately guide as whether a complete reversal of the downtrend is imminent. A breakout above the resistance zone would increase the probability of a reversal.

USDCHF

One year ago the bear market on the US Dollar versus the Swiss Franc began. The gradient of the slope is gentle which informs us the strength of the downtrend is medium-weak. Last week as price approached the resistance zone, sellers pushed the price down quite aggressively forming a bearish engulfing. This is a significant occurrence since it’s happening at a price boundary.

SUMMARY.

Our main trend is bearish and a potential reversal signal towards the downside has appeared. The next action seems laid out already. However, it is important to let price action further guide you. A look at a lower time frame will be ideal to guide your next course of action.


Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational and general information only and not advice or a recommendation to trade or invest. Do your own research/analysis and don’t blindly enter trades based on the analysis.